This week I am going to get after it. The key last week was to recognize that
I was going to lose going into it with my suicidal Jets play. I limited my losses as best I could,
but yet there was something satisfying about leaping into the fires screaming
out curses to the Gods. We all get
what we deserve and in this case I certainly did. A good old fashioned ass kicking.
I am about as cold as I have ever been picking football
games. This is when those with a
weak stomach would put their tail between their legs and go home. Not me though. I will march ahead into the brave
unknown with a sense of confidence that has absolutely no basis in reality. This morning I believe that the Gods
will right my path. It has been a
very tough few weeks. There is a
peak and valley to things though.
Things do turn around. They
will turn around this week, and I invite you to share in the spoils.
(I would like to take just a quick moment to point out that
I don’t believe any of the last statement either. If I am ice cold going into the week, why would it turn
now? There is no reason to believe
I haven’t bottomed out. In fact,
this may only be the beginning of an even worse slide. Who knows? I’ve been cooped up in a windowless recording studio totally
shutoff from the planet for days.
I have no idea of what is going on with the world. The only thing I know is that I have to
knock out a shitload of vocals this morning or we are going to fall horribly
behind schedule on this new record.
Do you think I have any insight on these games? Hell no! I just figured out who was playing who about ten minutes
ago. Doesn’t matter though. I am in for the entire ride. No matter how turbulent things get,
the natural order will prevail.
Always.)
When West Virginia got into the Big 12, everyone bought into
the fact that their Air Raid offense and lightning quick players would make
them a monster team. They had
looked awesome in the Big East, so moving into this higher profile conference
would only show more of America who they were as a program. Well, it turns out that the guys in the
Big 12 are pretty fucking fast too.
It also turns out that the Big East isn’t really a good gauge of how you
will fare in the Big 12. It turns
out the Big East kinda sucks. It
turns out facing these big time football programs of the Big 12 week after week
is a real issue.
This week West Virginia faces Oklahoma at home. I have a soft spot for West
Virginia. There are lots of good
people there that don’t have much to get excited about other than WVU sports
and hoping they win the lottery.
Good folks. I don’t bet
with my heart though. There has
been no evidence that West Virginia is capable of beating an elite Big 12 team,
so I don’t see why it will happen today.
They are 2-7 against the spread with the sole bright spot a win against
what turned out to be a subpar Texas team. West Virginia can’t stop anybody. This tends to be a problem in football. However, they can score points. I am going to do something stupid and
tease OK-4.5 and OVER 67.5.
I love to bet on teams that The Public hates. It’s especially good when these teams
play a team that The Public loves.
Dare I say I spot a perfect storm on Sunday when the shaky Dallas
Cowboys take on the always terrible Cleveland Browns in Dallas? Dallas is not very good. You think they are, but they
aren’t. You know why you think
they are? Because they get so much
media coverage you think Dez Bryant is as good as Larry Fitzgerald, when it
turns out that he’s only as good as Dez Bryant. If Jerry Jones mutters something under his breath, ESPN runs
with it as the lead story on SportsCenter for two days. It makes Dallas seem like a big deal
when all they are is a .500 franchise.
Meanwhile, there probably isn’t anyone outside of the NE Ohio area that
can name more than three Cleveland Browns.
This game is going to be ugly and maybe unwatchable. It will be a complete waste of your
time to even gaze in the direction of a TV broadcasting it. Avert your eyes. But don’t be a fool. Take Cleveland +8.5. It’s way too many points. Dallas doesn’t beat anyone soundly as a
favorite, and Cleveland is good at just sort of hanging around.
There are two games that go against popular opinion this
week, and I am hitting both of them.
In Pittsburgh, Ben Roethlisberger has some horrible injury where his
heart could get punctured by a dislocated rib. The great thing about the NFL is that there was serious
discussion if he would play. I ask
you, if someone told you your heart could be punctured by your rib, would you
say “Let’s discuss the possibility of me running around with eleven guys that
weigh 250+ pounds trying to hit me as hard as they can. Can I do that four days from now?”. I would be nestled inside of a plastic
bubble in a room full of Styrofoam packing peanuts. The Public will now overreact to the fact that they will not
get to see Roethlisberger die in a spectacular geyser of blood on the 50 yard
line, and will have to watch the Steelers play with discarded QB Byron
Leftwich. Now Pittsburgh is
getting 3.5 at home? I’m on
it. They always win with defense
anyway. The Public is heavy on
Baltimore, so go the other way.
Pittsburgh +3.5.
The Lions have been very disappointing. This is a way of life in Detroit where
they have been largely disappointed by such things as their city collapsing,
roving packs of mongrel dogs, complete lawlessness, and the Lions. Detroit plays Green Bay this week at
home, and the Pack is Back baby!
The Packers look like the Packers again whereas Detroit just lost to the
Vikings. I choose to accent the
positive. Green Bay is really
banged up right now. The NFL is so
brutal because with the salary cap, you can’t build depth. Green Bay is running a lot of guys out
on the field right now that Jacksonville looked at and said “Nah. We’ll keep our shitty guy
instead.”. No Clay Mathews
Jr. No Charles Woodson. NFL coaches are really good at creating
situations where Calvin Johnson gets to run out for a pass against Shitty Mc
Shitterson.
This game is the biggest lopsided bet in Vegas right now
with heavy public money on Green Bay.
I love hearing stuff like that even if it probably is
misinformation. I’m going with it. I think the Lions win at home and those
blowhards in the postgame shows all slap their foreheads and say “Whoa! What an
upset!”. Detroit +3.
The past is gone and there is only the future. Some of us will drink deep from the
chalice of victory. Some of us
will stroll tropical beaches without a care. At last the pieces will all fit together. The moment is at hand. Shed the past. At last we will enjoy the triumph of
victory without regret. Bask in
the glory of what has been pre-ordained.
(That was the part to psyche myself up. Boy do I hope things turn around this
week! I can’t take much more…)
Current Record Vs Spread: 6-9
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