I was exposed to the light last week as a complete
fool. While this has not
necessarily been an uncommon experience for me, it was still humbling to
realize that I don’t know anything about the NFL or gambling. Sure, I would have won that Baltimore
game if that last second Flacco pass didn’t ricochet off the tight end’s hands
in the end zone. Yes, Browns QB
Josh McCown’s helicopter concussion placed John W. Football in for the Browns,
guaranteeing a loss with the certainty of death/taxes. There were reasons for
my total failure. However this is
a game of results. There is no time for whining explanations. There are only
winners and losers, and I was a total loser.
I believe in the Law of Averages. Today I will be vindicated. This is a bold statement considering that I shot my mouth
off last night and became entangled in a Browns +3 bet with a friend. As we all know, it is literally
impossible to win a professional football game with John W. Football at
QB. I cannot explain why I allowed
myself to take the Browns and the elevated 3 points, except for the fact that I
like to be a contrarian. I must
have assumed that the Browns defense would recover a couple of fumbles in the
end zone, or maybe the special teams would return three kicks for touchdowns. Maybe I thought that during a key
moment in the game a plague of locusts would descend on Browns Stadium and in
the ensuing mayhem a Browns running back would heroicially carry the ball into
the end zone. I don’t know. I just don’t know what the hell I was
thinking. I am now actively trying
to distance myself from that “Browns +3” position. With luck my buddy was so loaded on cheap rum that he will
forget all about our conversation. This is my only hope.
I am now going to have to not only dig out of the hole from
last week, but from my stupidity last night. I can think of no better way of doing that than betting
against the Chicago Bears. The
Bears are really bad. The general
public vaguely thinks so, but it isn’t top of mind. Most people spend as much time thinking about the Bears as
they do fiber contents of cereal, labor policy in Vietnam, or the recording
career of the Alan Parsons Project.
I wonder what Alan did after he completed his project? I will tell you one thing he didn’t do,
he didn’t go out and get Bears tickets.
He probably had himself a nice Fresca instead.
Arizona is an elite NFL team. They are in Arizona so no one gives a shit yet. No one has noticed. When I think about Arizona I think
about retirees and Mexicans driving around strip plazas in white cars hoping
that wherever they stop the car has really good air conditioning. I don’t think about the Cardinals. I should though. The Cardinals have very quietly done
the things good teams in the NFL do, which is routinely defeat bad teams. Arizona is 14-3 against the spread
versus teams with a losing record.
The Bears are 4-19 at home ATS.
Make no mistake, the Bears are going to be a team with a losing
record. I foresee a highlights
package airing tonight with Jay Cutler walking off the field after a back
breaking interception with his head hung low. Arizona -2.
The Steelers played that Thursday Night NFL Season Opener what seems like 7
weeks ago. Meanwhile San Francisco
played at home late Monday night.
Now the 49ers get to make that “west to east” trip to play the well
rested and pissed off Steelers in their home opener. That doesn’t sound good. Have a really super afternoon guys. You want to hear something else that doesn’t sound good for
San Francisco? Pittsburgh is 8-1
in their last 9 home openers. This seems like a game where Pittsburgh gets out
to an early lead and SF wonders what the hell just happened and did someone get their luggage at the airport. Pittsburgh -6.
I have a few personal codes of conduct that have served me
well. Never eat at Hardee’s. Don’t buy cheap shoes. Bet against Marvin Lewis and the
Bengals whenever possible. If you
follow just these three basic commandments your life will run relatively
smoothly. The Chargers roll into
Cincinnati today where Bengal fans are probably already questioning something
Marvin Lewis did. Please note I
don’t think that the Chargers are an especially good team. I also think that the Bengals have
about twice as much talent as the Chargers. I just firmly feel The Marvin Lewis factor will be enough
for the Bolts today. Oh yeah, the Chargers
are also 16-6 against the spread out of their division. I will take a flier on them today. San Diego +3.5.
Season Record 0-3
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